BULL RUN PREVIEW: Breakdown and Predictions for all 8 races!

Bull Run Invitational
Zack Dickerson


BOYS MEDIUM PREVIEW

Baltimore Poly has one of the strongest teams they have had in a long time. They have two athletes who have dipped under the 17-minute barrier, Callaway Lipkin and Nicholas Bader, and have 3 more than can run under 18 minutes. Thier strong pack running should help them as they try to win the Medium division. River Hill will challenge them. Quinlan Ballou has looked strong to start the season and has improved head week. Hereford should be in the mix for a top 3 finish as well!

Individually, the top athletes who are entered in the race are Owen Infante (South River), Ryan Hartranft (Century), Jake Weakland (Hereford), and Folu Longe (Oakland Mills). Infante finished 8th at the Seahawk Intie and 4th at the Chesapeake Invite. Hartranft has also looked strong finishing 7th at the Barnhart Invite. While Infante's time of 16:03 is faster than Hartranft's time of 16:25, it's important to note that Seahawk is a 3-mile course and Barnhart is a 5k. There are 15 athletes who have run under 17 minutes so far this season, so this race looks to be an exciting one to watch!

Prediction:
Team: Poly
Individual: Ryan Hartranft (Century)

Top 20 Combined 3mile and 5k Times This Season


1Owen Infante16:03.9South River
2Ryan Hartranft16:25.5Century
3Jake Weakland16:33.4Hereford
4Folu Longe16:34.2Oakland Mills
5Cormac Moroney16:39.9Linganore
6Quinlan Ballou16:44.9River Hill
7Justin Gasparini16:45.2Hereford
8Callaway Lipkin16:49.0Baltimore Polytechnic Ins...
9Zach Reeves16:49.9Hereford
10Thomas Sewell16:50.4Century
11Nicholas Bader16:57.7Baltimore Polytechnic Ins...
12Jackson Steinbrenne...17:02.4Winters Mill
13Varun Dhond17:17.4River Hill
14Finn Lewandowski17:20.8South River
15Gunner Hansard17:21.0Kent Island
16James Ortt17:25.0North Harford
17Daniel Wang17:26.8River Hill
18Bryan Wang17:26.8Atholton
19Trey Donnelly17:30.0Kent Island
20Austin Parry17:31.0North Harford


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GIRLS MEDIUM PREVIEW


Ranked Teams Competing

#15 North Harford

Ranked Individuals Competing

#10 - Alyssa Mattes (River Hill)
#15 - Ellie Bassham (CMW)

There are several teams who have a chance of taking home the trophy for the medium division. On paper, North Harford comes in as the slight favorite, but Atholton, CM Wright, Century, and South River all have strong teams. North Harford won the Track and Trail invite, which is run on a pretty fast course. CM Wright finished behind them, but they were missing one of thier top runners. Atholton has two very strong runners in Gabrielle Shord and Tianna Wilson and will look for their 3-4-5 to move up a little. They finished 3rd at the Eagle Invite. 

Individually Alyssa Mattes looks like the strong favorite. She has run under 19 minutes twice already this season and is over a minute faster than the second-seeded runner, Ellie Bassham, from CM Wright. Bassham, Gabrielle Shord (Atholton), Taylor Colson (Century), and Frankie Moore from Oakland Mills should battle it out for the next three positions. 

Prediction:
Team: North Harford
Individual: Alyssa Mattes (River Hill)

Top 20 Combined 3mile and 5k Times This Season


1Alyssa Mattes18:49.7River Hill
2Ellie Bassham19:54.3C. Milton Wright
3Frankie Moore19:57.2Oakland Mills
4Taylor Colson20:03.7Century
5Gabrielle Shord20:07.5Atholton
6Caylie Brown20:16.7South River
7Tianna Wilson20:40.8Atholton
8Kendall Chandler20:46.0North Harford
9Cameryn Loper20:48.8C. Milton Wright
10Macy Woroniecki20:51.0Stephen Decatur
11Sophie Greene21:15.7South River
12Madilyn Coyle21:21.0North Harford
13Emma Coupe21:22.1South River
14Olivia Virago21:28.4Catonsville
15Elizabeth Mitroka21:31.5Century
16Ava Carberry21:36.0North Harford
17Mackenzie Pease21:42.0Kent Island
18Mallory McCartney21:47.0North Harford
19Kaitlyn Stevens21:50.0Kent Island
20Devon Boyle21:51.6Atholton


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