BULL RUN PREVIEW: Breakdown and Predictions for all 8 races!


BOYS SMALL PREVIEW

Ranked Teams Competing

#8 Liberty High

The Liberty boys have looked very strong in thier first two meets of the year, finishing second at the Top of the Hill Invite and 3rd at the Eagle Invite. They should easily take control of this race and have the ability to put 3 in the tip 5 and 5 in the top 15. They have averaged around 17:00 minutes for thier 1-5 average this season, about 1:30 faster than the next group of schools. It will be interesting to see where they will end up in the merged results with teams from the Large and Elite Divisions. 

The battle for second should be very competitive as four teams, Fallston, Southern-AA, and Francis Scott Key, all have the ability to race well. Southern will look to lean on Pankala and Gavin Tompkins who can both finish top 10 and hope that thier 3-4-5 runners can place high. Fallston and FSK don't have an individual who will battle for a top 5 finish but they do have stronger packs and stronger 4-5 runners. 

Individually the race should come down between Eric Penkala of Southern and Gregory Schellberg of Liberty. Penkala ran 15:54 at the Seahawk Invite and Schellberg ran 16:00 at the Eagle Invite. They both are over 40 seconds faster than the next competitor. It should be exciting to watch them duke it out!

Prediction:
Team: Liberty
Individual: Gregory Schellberg (Liberty)

Top 20 Combined 3mile and 5k Times This Season


1Eric Penkala15:54.5Southern-AA
2Gregory Schellberg16:00.2Liberty
3Benjamin Smith16:41.4Liberty
4Noah Petroski16:47.7Liberty
5Michael Wynkoop17:09.4Smithsburg
6Gavin Tompkins17:16.3Southern-AA
7Tekai Drummond17:20.0Cambridge South Dorcheste...
8Kyle Fellon17:25.0North Dorchester
9Neal Sanchez17:29.6Liberty
10Matthew Elliott17:36.0Patterson Mill
11Daniel Katz17:44.0North East
12Chris Novak17:54.0Patterson Mill
13Jacob Gooding18:00.7South Carroll
14Niklas Haraldsson18:04.0Rising Sun
15Noah Jahnigen18:07.0Patterson Mill
16Jesse Gresh18:07.5Liberty
17Robert Davis18:08.0Havre De Grace
18Thomas Millis18:11.7St Pauls For Boys
19Ben Hasty18:13.9Francis Scott Key
20Souji Miyake18:16.8
St Pauls For Boys


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GIRLS SMALL PREVIEW


Originally the team battle was supposed to be a close one between Smithsburg and Mt. De Sales. However, De Sales is unable to compete with the new date so this looks like Smithsburg race to lose. They have the ability to put 3 girls in the top 5 with Cora Gentzel, Kayla Hawbecker, and Michaela Gross. If they can do that it will be hard for another team to beat them. 

Individually, the race looks like it will be between Genztel, and Leanna Rogers (North East). They both have looked strong to start the season and are only separated by 16 seconds. Abigail Horsman from Patterson Mill ran a very strong league meet last week and may be in the mix for a top 3 finish as well!

Prediction: 
Team:
Smithsburg
Individual:  Leanna Rogers (Northeast)

Top 20 Combined 3mile and 5k Times This Season


1Leanna Rogers20:12.0North East
2

Abigail Horsmon

20:21.0Patterson Mill
3Cora Gentzel20:28.7Smithsburg
4Kayla Hawbecker21:06.2Smithsburg
5Maya Potter21:19.7Liberty
6Michaela Gross21:34.7Smithsburg
7Rebecca Farris21:38.4Rockbridge Academy
8Camryn Russum21:48.0Cambridge South Dorcheste...
9Alexandria Mack21:59.0North East
10Skylar Pizzulli22:08.4Bohemia Manor
11Stefani Burns22:18.0Patterson Mill
12Lindsay Vaughan22:19.7Rockbridge Academy
13Katie Callaghan22:34.0Rising Sun
14Mikayla Horst22:36.0Rising Sun
15Lauren Scott22:37.0Bohemia Manor
16Giada Marrichi22:38.9Liberty
17Ella Fisher22:40.8Smithsburg
18Madison Koterba22:42.0Francis Scott Key
19Abby Morse22:58.2Liberty
20Natalie Burton23:18.0Havre De Grace